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Today, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) cited that India is likely to receive 101 percent rainfall of a long-term average this year. The comments came as the Department was upgrading its previous forecast and raising expectations for higher farm output in the country.

Addressing the media, the Director-General of IMD, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra mentioned that the monsoon is expected to be well distributed. “Most parts of the country is expected to receive an average to an above-average amount of monsoon rains in 2021,” he added.

The LPA is measured from 1961 to 2010 and is 88 cm. In 2021, the officials expect there is a 40 percent probability that monsoon rain over the country is likely to be 96 percent to 104 percent of LPA. This is an upgrade since IMD’s first-stage monsoon forecast issued in April said monsoon rain is likely to be 98 percent of LPA.

Northwest India is likely to record 98 percent to 108 percent of LPA, whereas central India is likely to record above-normal rain over 106 percent of LPA. Meanwhile, the south peninsula is likely to record between 93 percent to 107 percent. However, northeast India is likely to record below normal rain at less than 95 percent of LPA.

The IMD defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96 percent and 104 percent of a 50-year average of centimeters for the entire four-month season beginning in June.


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